Though the analysis in this article
(GDP Growth Debate, by Ahsan H. Mansur) rightly captured the dynamics of output loss
during the recent political conflict, however its assumptions look over-simplistic:
the analysis unnecessarily gives more weights to the loss without considering
the fast recovery effort by both public and private sectors. Also, all the
happenings took place in H1 of the fiscal year, meaning the scope for considerable
economic progress in H2. Whatever the analysis is, the 5.0% GDP growth
projection is too less to agree. Anyway, alternative readings are always good
appetite.
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