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A theory is appropriate as long as it fits into the fact; when a theory doesn't fit in the fact, it's wise to walk with the fact.

Sunday, January 30, 2011

Chronological news on recent stock market crash!

News! News! And News on recent stock market crash in Bangladesh! I am sure that readers (both from economics background and non-economics background) want to know the chronological developments on the issue. Based on news, articles and opinions published on various newspapers, a little attempt has been made here for readers so that they can relate one incident with others.

Stage 1: News and analysis on recent stock market crash


Stage 2: Actions (bailout package?) of regulators against crash

Monetary Policy Review

Bangladesh Bank published the recent edition of its Monetary Policy Review (MPR, Vol. IV, No. 2, October 2010) with new data and analysis on monetary developments of the Bangladesh economy. It's a worth reading at this time, especially when everyone talks a lot about role of the central bank's policies in determining stock prices.

Tuesday, January 25, 2011

World Economic Outlook Update, IMF

Twin problems – (i) quick recovering from global economic crisis and (ii) inflation pressures are emerging like one in 2008 - of the global economies are notable at this moment. Here is a brief on World Economic Outlook Update, IMF.

Tuesday, January 18, 2011

Why government borrows from IMF and the World Bank recently?

As the recent news comes, the government is close to two separate negotiations with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank to borrow US$2.0 billion (US$1.0 billion from IMF as the Balance of Payments support and US$1.0 billion from the World Bank as budgetary support).

Here is the news on why? 

Here: why stock prices fly?

I think, the following two articles rightly explained the basic reasons behind the recent unusual shocks in Bangladesh stock markets! Please read those and update your knowledge about any asymmetric information prevailing in regards to the recent stock market crash.

1. The Daily Star
2. The Financial Express 

Sunday, January 16, 2011

Prof. Wahiduddin Mahmud on VOA

The gist of the interview of Professor Wahiduddin Mahmud by Voice of America (VOA) news offers a space to think over a few basic economic issues:

  1. Whether the current export pace in Bangladesh is sustainable in the long-run due to the lack of appropriate efforts to improve the energy shortage;
  2. Whether the government has been taking the appropriate measure to address the issues pertaining to long-run food security (such as asymmetric information about supply shortage vs. excess demand);
  3. Trade-off between labor supply for export industries and overseas employment for higher remittances (a higher overseas employment can make a shortage in labor supply in export industries, which may increase the wage level for those industries and export may become expensive). 

Wednesday, January 12, 2011

Bangladesh stock crash in world news

There are some news and analyses recently on Bangladesh stock market crashes in the world media and responses.

1. World Street Journal
2. BBC
3. Weekly Blitz
4. New Zealand Herald
5. Al Jazeera
6. CNN
7. Yahoo news

Tuesday, January 11, 2011

Sign of a normal market?

Dear 'so-called' normal market theorists, here is a glimpse of today's market. Around 12:45 p.m. to 1:15 p.m., the buy-and-sell condition of the Top Ten shares by value. Apparently, there is no single seller for top Seven shares! Will you still claim that it is a normal market, not manipulated?

Buy
Sell
Buy
Sell
Buy Price
Buy Volume
Sell Price
Sell Volume
Buy Price
Buy Volume
Sell Price
Sell Volume
1. NBL
2. BEXIMCO
180
269400

312.2
500
312.7
300
179.9
200

312
800
312.9
1300
179.7
3000

311.5
2000
313
9200
179.6
500

311.3
100
313.5
600
179.5
5600

311.2
1200
313.8
2200
179.4
100

311.1
1300
313.9
3000
179.2
100

311
1900
314
14400
179.1
1200

310.9
500
314.2
100
179
19400

310.6
200
314.4
1300
178.8
200

310.5
600
314.5
2600
3. BEXTEX
4. GP
74.6
200
74.7
13600
244.9
600
245.9
200
74.4
1600
74.8
14200
243
800
246
1800
74.2
2000
74.9
92000
242
800
246.5
200
74.1
800
75
361400
241.7
1000
246.7
200
74
9800


241.6
600
246.8
200
73.9
200


241.5
1400
246.9
1200
73.8
5200


241.2
200
247
3400
73.7
2400


241.1
200
247.3
200
73.6
1400


241
4000
247.5
1400
73.5
3200


240.8
2400
247.8
200
5. TITAS GAS
6. PRIME BANK
979
5000

83.4
73750


975
1350

83.3
12500


972
200

83.2
6250


971
600

83
6000


970.25
500

82.5
6000


970
500

82.2
8000


967
50

82.1
2000


966
100

82
7250


965
200

81.9
2750


964
1050

81.6
4750


7. SPCERAMICS
8. POWERGRID
103.8
89900

928.5
50

103.5
500

926
100

103.3
200

925
400

103.2
1000

920.25
100

103.1
1000

920
400

103
1500

916
100

102.9
2700

915
350

102.7
100400

913.25
150

102.6
400

912
200

102.5
100

910
500

9. SOUTHEAST BANK
10. ISLAMI BANK
535.25
253200

737.25
41000

535
6750

737
260

534.75
1000

736.5
40

534.5
2500

736
70

534
1250

735
90

533.75
1000

734.25
40

533
950

733
30

532
150

730.25
60

530.25
50

730
1200

530
2900

729
50