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Welcome to Applied Macroeconomic Centre
A theory is appropriate as long as it fits into the fact; when a theory doesn't fit in the fact, it's wise to walk with the fact.
Monday, July 28, 2014
Rethinking Economics in a Changed World!
Although a little bit old, but still it’s a worth reading. Camilla Andersen, in Finance and Development, IMF (June 2011), sums up the assessment of three Nobel Laureates on global financial crisis, and
the discussion what the crisis has meant.
MPS, BB (July-December 2014)
Bangladesh Bank unveils the latest (July-December 2014) edition of its monetary policy statement, with basically no change in its prior position of monetary tightening measures.
Link for the MPS.
Link for the MPS.
Sunday, June 29, 2014
Response on Raising CRR!
Professor M.A. Taslim writes on the impact of raising CRR.
The link of the article.
Main messages came out from the article are as follows:
1. the ultimate loser of raising CRR will be the ordinary people, who have regular transactions with commercial banks;
2. This attempt of the central bank will raise the interest rate up;
3. While the main job of the central bank should be to target nonfood inflation, it now wrongly targets food inflation also. Probably, the central bank is misguided with using its policy instruments;
4. Without improving the investment climate, which is the pressing need of the economy at this moment, the current trend of ever-increasing excess liquidity of the banking system can't be stopped.
One more issue that the article couldn't cover: If one carefully plots a graph with historical data (year-on-year change) of net credit to the government and credit to the private sector, they will see the long-term trend of negative relationship, including recently. While Bangladesh Bank has been trying to discourage the government to borrow from BB's own funds, basically to avoid inflation threats, then raising CRR at this time will definitely open another door of crowding out of private investment funds. So, the central bank needs more thoughtful/innovative steps.
The link of the article.
Main messages came out from the article are as follows:
1. the ultimate loser of raising CRR will be the ordinary people, who have regular transactions with commercial banks;
2. This attempt of the central bank will raise the interest rate up;
3. While the main job of the central bank should be to target nonfood inflation, it now wrongly targets food inflation also. Probably, the central bank is misguided with using its policy instruments;
4. Without improving the investment climate, which is the pressing need of the economy at this moment, the current trend of ever-increasing excess liquidity of the banking system can't be stopped.
One more issue that the article couldn't cover: If one carefully plots a graph with historical data (year-on-year change) of net credit to the government and credit to the private sector, they will see the long-term trend of negative relationship, including recently. While Bangladesh Bank has been trying to discourage the government to borrow from BB's own funds, basically to avoid inflation threats, then raising CRR at this time will definitely open another door of crowding out of private investment funds. So, the central bank needs more thoughtful/innovative steps.
Wednesday, June 11, 2014
Profile of Alan Krueger
Princeton Alumin Weekly profile Alan Krueger, former Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers, the White House.
Link of the profile.
Link of the profile.
Thursday, June 5, 2014
IMF Staff Report: 4th Review under ECF
The IMF Staff Report covers the fourth review under the ECF with latest macroeconomic update, and a debt sustainability analysis update.
Wednesday, June 4, 2014
Political stability and economic growth
Probably, one of the well written articles, and critically analysed on the relationship between political stability and economic growth by Dr Zahid Hussain, Lead Economist, World Bank. The article is partly related with current economic and political context of Bangladesh, however the applicability of the main message won't entirely limit to Bangladesh only. Definitely it has a global context.
Link for the article.
Link for the article.
Sunday, June 1, 2014
A Profile of Christopher Pissarides
IMF's Finance & Development profiles Christopher Pissarides, winner of the 2010 Nobel Prize for work on unemployment and labor markets.
Link of the profile.
Link of the profile.
Sunday, May 11, 2014
Moody's Rating on Bangladesh
Moody's Investor Service provides its credit analysis and rates the Bangladesh economy based on its rating system; one may find the latest version of that, published on 29 April, 2014 useful.
Tuesday, May 6, 2014
Knowledge-based Asian Economies
Asian Development Bank (ADB) publishes a paper 'Innovative Asia: Advancing the Knowledge-Based Economy' with status of Asia-Pacific economies based on the World Bank developed the Knowledge Economy Index (KEI) using a four-pillar framework: (i) Economic and Institutional Regime; (ii) Education and skill of population; (iii) Information infrastructure; and (iv) Innovative system. The paper is probably one of the few which captures the current state of knowledge-based economies, and one may easily see the status of Bangladesh also. One comment: It's not satisfactory at all!
Tuesday, April 29, 2014
Keystone Quarterly Review (Jan-Mar 2014)
Keystone produces its flagship publication 'Keystone Quarterly Review', Jan-Mar 2014 edition while focusing key issues like weak enforcement of immigration laws, energy policy options, and shortfall in revenue collection with relevant policy options. It also publishes useful statistics related to energy sector in Bangladesh. It's a worth reading!
Tuesday, April 22, 2014
Report on garment industry in Bangladesh
New York University Stern School of Business just publishes a report (Business as usual is not an option) about the garment industry in Bangladesh, its supply chain, and the workers in the context of intense international attention on working conditions in the global supply chain, and a shared desire for higher standards in the factories.
Thursday, April 10, 2014
Bangladesh Development Update, WB, April 2014
World Bank publishes its regular flagship publication Bangladesh Development Update, April 2014 edition with regular macroeconomic analysis and special stories on the Bangladesh power sector development and priorities.
Link for the report.
Link for the report.
Tuesday, April 1, 2014
Asian Development Outlook 2014
Asian Development Bank publishes its flagship publication Asian Development Outlook 2014 (ADO 2014), with a focus on fiscal policy for inclusive growth.
The full version of ADO 2014
The Bangladesh chapter of ADO 2014
The full version of ADO 2014
The Bangladesh chapter of ADO 2014
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